Free Premier League predictions for today. Data-driven analysis of every PL match with form stats, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5 goals tips, and predicted scores. Expert English football tips.
19:00 GMT
42%
Tottenham
WWDLLD
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Leeds United
WDWWDD
42%
Home
28%
Draw · xG 2.73
30%
Away
Double Chance
Tottenham or Draw
70%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
56%
Full Analysis
Tottenham 2W 2D 2L in their last 6 matches (1 scored, 1.33 conceded per game). Leeds United 3W 3D 0L from their last 6 (1.67 / 0.67 per game). At home specifically, Tottenham are averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. On the road, Leeds United are averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model projects 1.50 expected goals for Tottenham and 1.22 for Leeds United (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 42% Tottenham, 28% draw, 30% Leeds United. Tottenham are favoured but it's not a banker — Double Chance reduces the risk.
19:00 GMT
59%
Man City
WDWWWD
Most Likely Score
1-1
Home Win
Crystal Palace
DLLDWD
59%
Home
24%
Draw · xG 2.89
17%
Away
Match Result
Man City to Win
59%
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
Both Teams to Score — Yes
54%
Full Analysis
Man City 4W 2D 0L in their last 6 matches (2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded per game). Crystal Palace 1W 3D 2L from their last 6 (0.83 / 1.5 per game). At home specifically, Man City are averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. On the road, Crystal Palace are averaging 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. The model projects 1.93 expected goals for Man City and 0.95 for Crystal Palace (Dixon–Coles-corrected Poisson, 40-day form half-life, strength-of-schedule adjusted). Probabilities: 59% Man City, 24% draw, 17% Crystal Palace.
Premier League Predictions — How We Analyse
Our Premier League predictions are generated using real match data from the current season. We analyse each team's last 5 results to calculate form points, goals per game, clean sheet rates, and BTTS percentages. Home advantage is factored as a statistical bonus for the host team.
